TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9b1…af2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$39
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.65
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.65
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.6
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.75
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked DOCISK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.6
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.