TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof fnatic, Lavked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x842a…7422backed fnatic61c6,977$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.7212552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Lavked39c3,857$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.571,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked39c3,513$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.845,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed Lavked64c1,406$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.8911365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed fnatic57c1,112$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6984658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lavked41c1,019$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.541,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Lavked43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57014137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked39c996.69$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.982,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked fnatic61c963.17$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.555843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed fnatic60c786.46$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.072,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lavked38c659.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.195,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic56c655.82$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.944,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked fnatic59c589.45$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7847047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Lavked59c507.42$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.549646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed fnatic60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30098248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed fnatic52c446$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9228943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed fnatic68c420.08$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.232,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed Lavked38c410$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.23636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed fnatic73c388.23$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9440449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed fnatic11c360.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Lavked43c352.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked43c327.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7878043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc06a…24a0backed Lavked19c319.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.191540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked45c305.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.117,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Lavked72c283.31$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3111959.7%71 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed fnatic60c265$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic32c256.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.963,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Lavked45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked fnatic62c230$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.631647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed fnatic63c223$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.362,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed fnatic55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.81,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lavked40c214.2$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.864,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Lavked40c209.45$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1412948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lavked17c194.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.157641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic38c175$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.272,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Lavked33c172$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.321,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked fnatic61c167.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked fnatic61c163.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018846.8%88 W · 100 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Lavked11c156.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0748635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed fnatic61c151.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5713049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x516b…2dcfbacked fnatic63c145.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.29545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Lavked62c141.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5552750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked fnatic58c126.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3718350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed fnatic58c124.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4264554.4%351 W · 294 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Lavked24c123.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8437140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Lavked41c122.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9541050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…624cbacked fnatic20c121.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Lavked38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.445545.1%205 W · 250 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Lavked43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2723335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lavked39c110.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.931,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed fnatic61c110.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.22,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked fnatic60c107.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3419745.7%90 W · 107 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Lavked40c104.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3640141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Lavked40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6084037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed fnatic60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed fnatic46c96.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.158724.1%21 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Lavked42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2422954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic56c94.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.326,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed fnatic35c94.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.272,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed fnatic33c94.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8614137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed fnatic59c92.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557552%39 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed fnatic63c89.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.141,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8b…6fdfbacked fnatic62c88.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.882462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc651…4e2cbacked fnatic60c82.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Lavked39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0273854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Lavked24c81.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.964032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3217…32d3backed fnatic32c81.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa29d…3d7bbacked Lavked56c78.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f8…436cbacked Lavked72c77.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.767668.4%52 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Lavked39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9283556.2%469 W · 366 L+31.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Lavked39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9242757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4476…be40backed fnatic60c76.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6110370.9%73 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Lavked45c76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed fnatic26c73.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed fnatic71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lavked34c68.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.431,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed fnatic31c67.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Lavked39c65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6530155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Lavked40c63.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7927259.2%161 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed fnatic62c61.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1210356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Lavked39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6549856.6%282 W · 216 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lavked46c59.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.271,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed fnatic74c54.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9916036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…73d0backed fnatic65c54.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Lavked68c53.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0420355.2%112 W · 91 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Lavked40c51.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0484554.4%460 W · 385 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked fnatic40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.980741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed fnatic57c49.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.164,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Lavked67c40.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.263429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9c8…5312backed fnatic60c36.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed fnatic60c35.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed Lavked39c35.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Lavked39c33.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.737855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked fnatic62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked fnatic62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Lavked71c32.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2622838.2%87 W · 141 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed fnatic61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.318543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Lavked41c28.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9340457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…be0fbacked fnatic63c27.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3e…6b69backed fnatic74c24.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189568.4%65 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.