Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs SK Nebula (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af118b18f4c6168cfd5b6a2827a6db2cec2dae48d93c69c2271da083eeeb7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof G2 Gozen, SK Nebula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 40c | 386.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed SK Nebula | 56c | 307.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed G2 Gozen | 65c | 242.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2453backed G2 Gozen | 64c | 234.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Gozen | 61c | 173.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 44c | 157.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed G2 Gozen | 47c | 117.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked SK Nebula | 42c | 117$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed SK Nebula | 52c | 100.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked G2 Gozen | 49c | 79.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…9f56backed SK Nebula | 39c | 75.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…9aa5backed SK Nebula | 55c | 39.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked SK Nebula | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…af2bbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 36.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked SK Nebula | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…f7d1backed SK Nebula | 52c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d2…0b8dbacked SK Nebula | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SK Nebula | 69c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.