La Liga · resolved market
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a7b19fd5b75f30b5668918d884e5071a551a9d0f4a6321fb4eb2ad6972a9fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cádiz CFof CD Castellón, Cádiz CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked CD Castellón | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.98 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cádiz CF | 54c | 19,366$10,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,918.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cádiz CF | 57c | 8,100$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed CD Castellón | 53c | 5,378$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.83 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Cádiz CF | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cádiz CF | 47c | 1,816$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Cádiz CF | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Cádiz CF | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Cádiz CF | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed CD Castellón | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked CD Castellón | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cádiz CF | 43c | 848.13$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.43 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cádiz CF | 52c | 799.35$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.96 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked CD Castellón | 58c | 686.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cádiz CF | 42c | 539.83$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked CD Castellón | 59c | 526.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cádiz CF | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Cádiz CF | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Cádiz CF | 65c | 343.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Cádiz CF | 46c | 270.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.76 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cádiz CF | 46c | 235.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Cádiz CF | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Cádiz CF | 47c | 225.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Cádiz CF | 46c | 222.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Cádiz CF | 48c | 220.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed CD Castellón | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed CD Castellón | 57c | 175.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Cádiz CF | 57c | 175.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Cádiz CF | 56c | 168.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Cádiz CF | 57c | 152.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cádiz CF | 45c | 149.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed CD Castellón | 52c | 140.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed CD Castellón | 54c | 135.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CD Castellón | 53c | 124.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed CD Castellón | 53c | 124.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked CD Castellón | 55c | 119.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed CD Castellón | 56c | 114.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Cádiz CF | 44c | 114.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed CD Castellón | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cádiz CF | 47c | 82.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Cádiz CF | 54c | 78.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Cádiz CF | 54c | 75.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked CD Castellón | 55c | 71.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Cádiz CF | 43c | 70.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CD Castellón | 57c | 61.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked CD Castellón | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed CD Castellón | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed CD Castellón | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed CD Castellón | 56c | 49.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CD Castellón | 55c | 47.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed CD Castellón | 54c | 46.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Cádiz CF | 45c | 42.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CD Castellón | 45c | 42.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed CD Castellón | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CD Castellón | 46c | 39.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed CD Castellón | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked CD Castellón | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…d670backed Cádiz CF | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Cádiz CF | 55c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed CD Castellón | 59c | 25.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Cádiz CF | 42c | 25.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Cádiz CF | 43c | 24.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed CD Castellón | 48c | 24.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked CD Castellón | 58c | 24.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Cádiz CF | 52c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Cádiz CF | 52c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed CD Castellón | 53c | 21.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Cádiz CF | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked CD Castellón | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Cádiz CF | 55c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Cádiz CF | 55c | 18.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked CD Castellón | 59c | 17.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)this page
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.