La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4e6b4a266a6004aa0bda2644d578fc0e9433fcae4b49e2a0c7017d9d9f124c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over | 38c | 7,289$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.96 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 6,027$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.01 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 52c | 3,296$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.63 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 1,833$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.34 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 1,208$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.21 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 46c | 729.4$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 44c | 646.72$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 45c | 592.07$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 36c | 486.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 464.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 341$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 314.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 44c | 227.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 52c | 190.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 25c | 137.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 120.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 67c | 111.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 79c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Under | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 95.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 33c | 84.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 66c | 72.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 50c | 64.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 62.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 60.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 67c | 58.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Under | 71c | 56.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 71c | 54.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Over | 30c | 51.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 68c | 38.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 61c | 38.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 38.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Under | 34c | 31.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…9370backed Over | 67c | 31.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Over | 41c | 27.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Under | 80c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 67c | 15.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 66c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.