La Liga · resolved market
CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd867561beef452c6f9daaed57ad7e5846688f2aaa2ae16442fcd4b1f7220aeb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 22c | 4,030$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.76 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,140$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,507$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 1,256$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.92 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 749.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.49 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 699.28$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.28 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 633.48$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.66 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 62c | 318.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 37c | 299$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 295.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 50c | 264.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 204.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Yes | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 131.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 17c | 131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 51c | 119.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 96.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 51c | 91.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 52c | 80.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 72.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 52c | 47.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed No | 74c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 79c | 14.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)Cádiz CF won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.