La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85d0e759052af7319b11d59380919655592e64d82d5317831b5a1e65d0b21789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Yes | 50c | 5,999$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 4,496$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.44 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 1,524$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.23 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 56c | 532.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 56c | 530.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 50c | 477.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 445.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 221.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 174.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 57c | 95.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 43c | 88.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 56c | 57.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 58c | 52.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Yes | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 51c | 37.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.