Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38523e19f7af05df6361b10cfd88b9fa7049fb4dd130b7d7f134d00381dbe72c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilmarnock FCof Kilmarnock FC, Dundee FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kilmarnock FC | 28c | 416$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Dundee FC | 67c | 317.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Dundee FC | 69c | 252.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kilmarnock FC | 30c | 218.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dundee FC | 70c | 200.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Kilmarnock FC | 35c | 91.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Kilmarnock FC | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dundee FC | 75c | 56.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Dundee FC | 71c | 46.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Kilmarnock FC | 36c | 33.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dundee FC | 63c | 30.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Dundee FC | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)this page
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dundee FC (-2.5)Kilmarnock FC won
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-2.5)Dundee FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.