La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x799e0a0219784be7b0f4632f2a32fe4457b912b97851e8ffb264e78d7680c09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 0c | 3,684$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,657$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 36c | 1,397$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 64c | 1,113$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.84 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…c23dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,046$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 30c | 629.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 567.8$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 513.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 36c | 499.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.72 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 471.85$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.9 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 299.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 32c | 255.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…502dbacked Yes | 38c | 186.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 144.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes | 36c | 139.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 73c | 101.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…574abacked Yes | 35c | 84.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 36c | 84.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 27c | 80.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 76.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…7573backed Yes | 34c | 62.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 64c | 46.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…d390backed Yes | 37c | 42.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…e1a6backed Yes | 38c | 39.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Deportivo Alavés leading at halftime?Yes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.