Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729d4177fd7c58f7646908090e7f05714f322de2344f4c5de2370ecfefb194ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Taishan FCof Shandong Taishan FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 48c | 1,247$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 61c | 591.97$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 58c | 425.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shandong Taishan FC | 43c | 385.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 49c | 351.93$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.44 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Shandong Taishan FC | 51c | 290.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Shandong Taishan FC | 50c | 287.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Shandong Taishan FC | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…de56backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 56c | 216.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Shandong Taishan FC | 46c | 215.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 37c | 204.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Shandong Taishan FC | 38c | 200.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 49c | 130.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 23c | 129.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 77c | 129.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 60c | 118.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Shandong Taishan FC | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…7bd6backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 48c | 102.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed Shandong Taishan FC | 52c | 96.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 61c | 85.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shandong Taishan FC | 35c | 80.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 65c | 77.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Shandong Taishan FC | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Shandong Taishan FC | 41c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shandong Taishan FC | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 47c | 58.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shandong Taishan FC | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Shandong Taishan FC | 50c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 62c | 33.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Shandong Taishan FC | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Shandong Taishan FC | 51c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Shandong Taishan FC | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.