Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d79866c8efb7869c44253b80f054bd146aa212d6ff7762a03763aafd3c98d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 37c | 1,496$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.41 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,089$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 781.26$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 605.58$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 15c | 466.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 43c | 299.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 77c | 247.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 42c | 229.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…8230backed Yes | 56c | 201$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 74c | 182.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 43.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 63c | 40.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 27.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 55c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.