Asian League · resolved market
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77267833947483204c023e5a3daf6ad32a4a74086bd435749d18410d461d00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 3,685$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,254$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.9 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 996.77$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.31 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 49c | 617.65$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.65 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 42c | 591.92$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.61 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 54%134 W · 114 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 36c | 314.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 276$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 260.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 14c | 256.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 58c | 172.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 60c | 167.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 336 | 52.7%177 W · 159 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 44c | 100.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 49c | 97.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 65.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 64.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 52.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 49.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 60c | 49.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 56c | 44.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 38.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 377 | 62.3%235 W · 142 L | +60.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 474 | 55.5%263 W · 211 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.