TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01c7…e995backed No2c32,406$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.4796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No0c25,906$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9117753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No1c25,029$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.755752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No7c5,754$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.3884347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No2c4,132$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.192,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Yes64c2,307$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No2c2,017$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.748155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes70c2,004$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No38c1,434$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4612634.1%43 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No75c1,326$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.491573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No34c1,169$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.952,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes17c1,007$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.211,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes24c972.39$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.0217249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes19c881.41$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.761,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c879$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes53c588.56$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.441,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes17c552.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.526341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Yes30c543.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.063342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No5c487.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.215352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No37c480.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7327639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No5c427.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes46c424.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.482552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Yes73c423.2$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes17c413.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.961,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed No52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x054b…ea92backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No40c343.34$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9524448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes65c323.03$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.261060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes63c317.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.86875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No77c315.73$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.119458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No37c304.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.513823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No24c250.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6225653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c209.9$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9789955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No57c194.04$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.969842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed Yes50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Yes68c185.96$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.96560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No79c177.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2214453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8eea…df80backed Yes70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No39c168.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7118851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No53c161.96$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4273850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes20c135.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.491,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes72c131.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes76c131.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0111731.6%37 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c125.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.955,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed No46c121.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.177356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes28c116$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.225440.7%22 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7296…69f5backed Yes19c113.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+70.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed No37c107.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.583828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes23c103.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0813951.1%71 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4818543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d03…9cefbacked No46c84.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.131338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c75.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.871,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No76c74.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.42,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed Yes18c69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.582623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Yes18c69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.583438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yes54c68.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f4…b240backed No47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes29c59.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes35c56.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No77c54.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.840156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes21c51.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63749.5%7 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes26c49.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2522544%99 W · 126 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No37c48.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes64c48.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.334062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…a538backed Yes50c42.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No79c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.612354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed No49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No48c33.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3746422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed No36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9124…7a4dbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87dc…a465backed Yes69c28.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes77c26.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1858542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Yes72c26.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.321844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No68c21.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4926348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.136765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed No51c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28359%49 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No77c15.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.737263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.