Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a758e8d7609c63260822d86a8e15689cf88ffe801070e249720f265a7a08372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 4,253$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 3,971$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 30c | 2,330$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed Yes | 41c | 1,400$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 1,180$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 1,116$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 1,030$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 28c | 755.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 703.74$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 26c | 550.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 66c | 501.32$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 74c | 420.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 301.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 264.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…fa16backed Yes | 28c | 223.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 213$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 191.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 16c | 174.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 166.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 151.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 150.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 71c | 141.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 31c | 119.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 29c | 104.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 21c | 81.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 75.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 75.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 46c | 70.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…b240backed No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 30.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 70c | 28.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 73c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 58c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-15?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.