Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72d6077275db3a053623b2da1bc552ac23b46ba55bf2750ffd6b3fc32d1a2aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 15,000$8,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,959.36 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 6,585$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 4,804$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 4,455$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.24 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 4,436$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 40c | 3,689$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.27 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 41c | 3,205$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 2,115$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.83 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 68c | 2,058$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.64 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Yes | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 41c | 1,439$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 52c | 1,341$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.65 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yes | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 54c | 982.75$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 42c | 916.98$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.89 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 864.81$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 838.54$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.59 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 677.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.67 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.69 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 44c | 590.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.91 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 530.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Yes | 59c | 530.09$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 35c | 491.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 43c | 458$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 22c | 423.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.71 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 43c | 411.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 392$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 37c | 374.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 56c | 363.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 43c | 320$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 311.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.19 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 42c | 309.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 33c | 290.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 35c | 275.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 60c | 265.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 40c | 243.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Yes | 8c | 243.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…ffe9backed Yes | 61c | 241.66$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 55c | 234.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 40c | 187.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 40c | 186.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 42c | 177.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 177.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 56c | 153.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 57c | 150.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 57c | 146.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 144.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 49c | 138.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 49c | 128.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 100.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 46c | 97.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 65c | 94.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 57c | 93.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 46c | 91.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 86.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 58c | 82.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 42c | 73.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 43c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 59c | 68.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 40c | 68.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 46c | 64.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…b8cabacked Yes | 60c | 61.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 56.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…8762backed Yes | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.