TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed No52c20,692$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,992.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes44c16,632$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.636845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c13,128$7,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.077,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes34c10,932$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.4651842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c10,813$7,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.785,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes42c10,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,249.958245.1%37 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes49c8,888$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.8366047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c8,157$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.762,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c6,939$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.9616953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c2,393$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.482,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes37c2,019$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No57c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85012564%80 W · 45 L+13.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes41c1,451$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.712,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes48c1,405$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.0423649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes42c1,376$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.2854650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c1,312$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.994043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c1,144$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.192,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes43c1,130$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5838358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes45c1,050$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes44c1,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c938.76$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.091,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No58c855$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.13351.5%17 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c680$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.214050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No49c673.47$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4713357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c598$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.591,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes46c586.63$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5491148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408845.5%40 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes45c460$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No62c447.56$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.077775.3%58 W · 19 L+12.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No57c438$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.347024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c427.57$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.881,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c414.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.731,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No70c400.55$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7717149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes43c338.93$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7418343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes45c330$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.89761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes43c290.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9918344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c275.39$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6563849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No56c267$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+83.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes41c244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.043138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c242.38$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.769353.8%50 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Yes45c217.83$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes17c203.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9435740.6%145 W · 212 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes38c198.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.971010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Yes45c182.51$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No58c180.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3811968.1%81 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes40c162.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed No63c149.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes13c149.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4913542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Yes34c135.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes44c133$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.524151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No56c125.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.213369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.228446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4662…4d26backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.062,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes44c108.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.684654.3%25 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes43c105.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5512261.5%75 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes33c100.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9623347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.59941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdba1…7198backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No57c83.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.94753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes40c79.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2798653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc986…e7bfbacked Yes35c78.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes51c67.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.232060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4571…b8cabacked Yes52c64.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes37c56.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121036.7%77 W · 133 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Yes44c55.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.448336.1%30 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes44c54.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9239852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes50c54.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1424146.9%113 W · 128 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No55c51.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1711657.8%67 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No62c50.3$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.078956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c50.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.61,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1319948.7%97 W · 102 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes44c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.682825%7 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No57c43.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4140958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c43.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2623743.9%104 W · 133 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes29c42.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0689258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed No65c38.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.363756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No57c38.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes43c37.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0267348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed No57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No56c35.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.263333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.