Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf32fc4467eb0c21d63169a113f32f22dbd5923a9af791e0062d914414283c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 6,311$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.19 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 5,396$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 2,916$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,484$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.9 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 67c | 2,155$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.81 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,714$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.36 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,557$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 77c | 1,335$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.11 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,222$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.96 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 76c | 1,184$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 955.73$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.37 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 76c | 920$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 72c | 475.25$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 396.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 364.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 67c | 312$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 8c | 210.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 169.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 148.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 144.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 71c | 137$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…7198backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 29c | 130.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 118.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Yes | 11c | 108.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 106.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 30c | 76.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 76.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 31c | 70.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 67.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 22c | 56.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 51.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 24c | 50.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 49.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 48.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 75c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 72c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ed66backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 69c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.