South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf15ee4c1dfae2e294037bf4f67dc0227bcbfb33d01d2d0e6bcee35d3177c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 4,677$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 2,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 74c | 2,146$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 883.53$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 29c | 748.75$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 76c | 416.91$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 401.24$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Yes | 25c | 397.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 26c | 384.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 32c | 364.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 341.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 31c | 292.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 33c | 278$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 73c | 255.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 158$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed No | 76c | 148.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 67c | 144.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…366bbacked Yes | 27c | 141.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 69c | 140.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 74c | 133.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 24c | 133.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 71c | 131.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…1fc0backed Yes | 31c | 118.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 75c | 97.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 74c | 94.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…4d74backed Yes | 27c | 86.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 30c | 78.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 73.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 74c | 73.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 73.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 73.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 73.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 74c | 73.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Yes | 29c | 65.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 59.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 59.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked No | 77c | 48.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 76c | 48.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 76c | 46.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 76c | 34.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 74c | 33.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 76c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 76c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed No | 76c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…9fbabacked Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 76c | 32.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 74c | 30.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 73c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-02?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.