Tennis · resolved market
Shymkent 2: Alexandr Binda vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85fe9236324c818c9c0bce09741901da035f686cbb7f1652dd4ec3a84dc87098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manoj Dhamne Manasof Alexandr Binda, Manoj Dhamne Manas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandr Binda | 9c | 6,870$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.78 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Alexandr Binda | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Alexandr Binda | 22c | 1,474$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alexandr Binda | 17c | 1,272$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Alexandr Binda | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Alexandr Binda | 15c | 1,023$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 71c | 936.08$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 76c | 797.62$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 78c | 751.38$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Alexandr Binda | 23c | 379.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Alexandr Binda | 6c | 357.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Alexandr Binda | 38c | 277.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 63c | 249.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Alexandr Binda | 17c | 245.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Alexandr Binda | 17c | 211.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alexandr Binda | 17c | 207.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandr Binda | 12c | 171.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Alexandr Binda | 15c | 156.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 78c | 149.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexandr Binda | 8c | 134.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 78c | 126.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alexandr Binda | 18c | 125.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Alexandr Binda | 18c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 71c | 91.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Alexandr Binda | 19c | 85.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 78c | 76.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…ac6dbacked Alexandr Binda | 16c | 67.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alexandr Binda | 28c | 62.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Alexandr Binda | 29c | 51.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Alexandr Binda | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 71c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alexandr Binda | 33c | 48.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 70c | 33.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 71c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…1400backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 78c | 22.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 69c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 66c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.