Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcc72b70eecb5af3acbb4164c73d566421aeed509c4b62e29ec176e063c532f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 31c | 3,220$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 44c | 2,833$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.5 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 2,108$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.18 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 1,547$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.52 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,450$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.18 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a6d9backed Under | 27c | 1,057$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 72c | 1,007$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 956.67$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.51 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 73c | 772$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 595.62$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.28 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 70c | 542.4$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 70c | 453.61$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 435.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 66c | 429.44$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 60c | 317.78$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 10c | 288.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 69c | 267.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 263.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 41c | 241.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 39c | 186.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 16c | 179.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 59c | 169.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 27c | 159.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 147.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 29c | 139.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Over | 39c | 129.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 73c | 122.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…3811backed Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 69c | 108.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 102.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 74c | 90.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 56c | 81.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 32c | 75.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 74c | 72.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 70.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 73c | 69.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 44c | 57.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Under | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…4a97backed Over | 53c | 47.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 61c | 47.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Under | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 40c | 35.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Under | 30c | 34.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 37c | 31.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Over | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 52c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.