Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x607fbdf41ed3805d1529751435f3f15ffe8df28d1d46fa0fccecc4bd2e63ffdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 79c | 7,956$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 6,534$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a6d9backed Under | 9c | 2,257$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 15c | 722.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 8c | 618.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 545.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 74c | 273.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 23c | 57.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 23c | 57.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 23c | 56.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 77c | 56.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…1183backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.