Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c49b5e757aa2d26b2b3f7f716e98da1449ed57ca87a4a76f200a84e3fdc511d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 49c | 12,115$5,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,178.48 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 10,561$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.28 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 5,222$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,966$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.55 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.35 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 900.02$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.01 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 839.7$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.11 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 762.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.38 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 655.27$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 56c | 613.63$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 45c | 529.66$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 7c | 474.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under | 56c | 457.14$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 431$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 15c | 372.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 42c | 331$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 56c | 252.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 47c | 246.51$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 45c | 220.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 51c | 219.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 25c | 194.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 183.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 48c | 181.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 60c | 180.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 58c | 126$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 52c | 125.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 121.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 45c | 107.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 93.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 72c | 87.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 49c | 80.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 41c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 73.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 61c | 59.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 47c | 50.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…2fc8backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 52c | 48.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 52c | 45.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 53c | 42.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 61c | 42.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Under | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 52c | 28.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 61c | 22.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 46c | 21.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…3bb3backed Under | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 60c | 17.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 14.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.