Serie A · resolved market
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce8388e60a75b8b0c1b97cf3a67d3e501ea34dc2189d30c5aeee55d31c40c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 51c | 7,000$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 64c | 4,684$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 4,199$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 2,300$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.54 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,681$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 48c | 1,569$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 1,144$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.56 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 787.66$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.83 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 601.77$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.98 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 483.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 479$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 57c | 353.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 74c | 295.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 277.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 46c | 246.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 23c | 242.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 194.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 78c | 193.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 54c | 159$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 53c | 149.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 56c | 135.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 128.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 47c | 107.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 49c | 101.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 51c | 74.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 71.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 77c | 67.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 57c | 63.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 25c | 45.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 49c | 43.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed No | 58c | 42.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 40.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 39.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 52c | 38.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 34.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 32.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 50c | 31.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed No | 77c | 30.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed No | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 53c | 26.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…3a87backed Yes | 52c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Genoa CFC won
- Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.