NHL · resolved market
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2425a1e6ebc195c3670cc1b2454e15fd00d476ca6775b5dea0cbd7c16cc6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Penguins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Flyers | 62c | 3,530$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Flyers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Penguins | 43c | 1,938$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Penguins | 42c | 1,584$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.06 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 33c | 1,511$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Penguins | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Penguins | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Penguins | 33c | 1,065$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…b08fbacked Flyers | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Penguins | 32c | 812.32$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Penguins | 45c | 657.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flyers | 68c | 609.35$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Penguins | 42c | 549.46$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Penguins | 44c | 515.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Flyers | 61c | 458.41$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Penguins | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Flyers | 50c | 411.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Flyers | 54c | 404.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Penguins | 3c | 345.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 56c | 325.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Penguins | 33c | 302.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Penguins | 61c | 291.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Flyers | 68c | 270.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 44c | 252.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Penguins | 33c | 249.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Penguins | 32c | 245.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Penguins | 6c | 208.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Penguins | 43c | 197.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Penguins | 45c | 193.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Penguins | 47c | 171.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…bfb3backed Penguins | 49c | 149.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Flyers | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Penguins | 33c | 146.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Flyers | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Penguins | 33c | 119.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Flyers | 67c | 117.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Penguins | 31c | 116.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 43c | 112.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Penguins | 33c | 107.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penguins | 33c | 101.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…abbbbacked Flyers | 68c | 100.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Penguins | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Penguins | 52c | 98.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…cf70backed Flyers | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Penguins | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Flyers | 52c | 96.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Flyers | 56c | 95.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Flyers | 38c | 92.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Penguins | 24c | 90.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Flyers | 68c | 90.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Penguins | 42c | 90.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Penguins | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Flyers | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Flyers | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Penguins | 45c | 79.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Penguins | 41c | 78.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flyers | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Penguins | 43c | 71.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Flyers | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Penguins | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Flyers | 67c | 64.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Flyers | 38c | 63.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Flyers | 67c | 58.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Penguins | 33c | 58.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Penguins | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Penguins | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Flyers | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Penguins | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 46c | 53.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Flyers | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Flyers | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Flyers | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flyers | 57c | 46.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Penguins | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Flyers | 55c | 45.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Penguins | 46c | 45.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Flyers | 50c | 44.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Flyers | 55c | 44.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Flyers | 57c | 42.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Flyers | 59c | 42.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Penguins | 42c | 37.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…a1ebbacked Penguins | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Flyers | 68c | 33.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Penguins | 45c | 31.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Flyers | 49c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Flyers | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Flyers | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Flyers | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Flyers | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Flyers | 56c | 27.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Penguins | 46c | 26.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flyers | 67c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers | 66c | 19.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5de…5f00backed Flyers | 58c | 19.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)this page
- Flyers vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.