NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29615959e6830a4c806618f814dee7eb47910f690d13fd63d53353a27bc69dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 58c | 45,573$26,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,140.6 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Over | 42c | 45,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,899.96 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 42c | 36,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,120 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 58c | 18,643$10,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 58c | 14,196$8,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.36 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 8,596$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.12 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 42c | 4,963$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.28 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 4,592$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.64 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 4,071$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 2,860$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.83 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 68c | 2,716$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.29 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 2,580$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.55 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 57c | 2,423$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.5 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 2,247$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.74 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 58c | 1,950$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.83 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.79 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Under | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 42c | 1,158$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.46 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 61c | 1,056$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Under | 58c | 944.55$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 908.9$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Under | 57c | 896.65$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 59c | 841.67$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.08 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 58c | 840.87$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.16 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 790.32$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.18 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 42c | 720$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 48c | 709.59$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 52c | 616.89$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.73 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 55c | 594$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…a75fbacked Over | 43c | 577.19$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 39c | 538.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 474.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 448.48$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 48c | 425.29$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 52c | 329.95$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 58c | 321.68$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 308.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 41c | 295.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 32c | 282$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 78c | 263.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…3266backed Under | 71c | 201.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 44c | 192.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 35c | 173.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 48c | 159.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 134.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 105.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 55c | 101.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Over | 42c | 100.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 47c | 98.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…1f6ebacked Over | 43c | 97.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Over | 30c | 90.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 39c | 88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 67c | 84.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 84.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 21c | 80.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 68.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 67.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 43c | 55.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Over | 42c | 50.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Under | 76c | 45.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed Under | 57c | 43.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…1663backed Under | 47c | 41.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed Over | 43c | 38.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…9bb3backed Under | 59c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…3be8backed Under | 58c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…8427backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 58c | 33.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 52c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 76c | 31.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 30.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Under | 59c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d7…0f42backed Over | 43c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Under | 58c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…0368backed Over | 43c | 29.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Under | 59c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Under | 58c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…1487backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 63c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Flyers vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.