CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838592bba05cecaec772e95bbfdffeec31ef0c88ff7fc3ed7918d7788a4fa416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 24c | 8,057$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 76c | 7,996$6,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,044.57 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Over | 27c | 7,519$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.33 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 26c | 2,395$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.11 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 73c | 2,232$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.09 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 5c | 1,995$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Under | 75c | 1,803$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.13 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…1ee9backed Under | 73c | 1,364$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.62 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Under | 77c | 1,238$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.49 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under | 73c | 1,194$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.43 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 21c | 829.11$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 74c | 773$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.02 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…72d9backed Under | 74c | 704.34$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 73c | 658.49$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.34 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 75c | 622.04$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 27c | 562.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.31 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 73c | 501$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.73 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 75c | 456$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.86 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 74c | 410.58$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Under | 73c | 359.86$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 26c | 299.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Over | 10c | 286.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.9 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 51c | 277.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 74c | 222.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Under | 74c | 213$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 23c | 201.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Over | 24c | 201$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…a8a7backed Over | 28c | 180.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 74c | 177.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Under | 76c | 174$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 74c | 146$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Under | 78c | 140$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 74c | 130$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 28c | 125.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Under | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 25c | 115.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 26c | 108.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 75c | 98.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 47c | 90.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…dc39backed Over | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 27c | 81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 26c | 77.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 26c | 70.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 73c | 70.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8d66backed Under | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…d43ebacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 17c | 65.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 27c | 58.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 26c | 58.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de9…a8f2backed Under | 75c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 63c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 40c | 47.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 46.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Under | 64c | 40.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 36c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 58c | 40.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Under | 74c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 30.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 68c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 59c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Under | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 WinnerOG won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.