CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d2a57aba120bc3eedd0bfb90eee3de76547e4ccdf96faa454f38b2258ab4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1da7…26d3backed Spirit | 41c | 1,639$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Spirit | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked OG | 58c | 1,310$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.79 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed OG | 58c | 1,271$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Spirit | 44c | 1,052$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.25 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Spirit | 39c | 943.59$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.59 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Spirit | 41c | 807.43$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.05 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Spirit | 39c | 764.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.29 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spirit | 42c | 567$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed OG | 60c | 512.6$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.56 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked OG | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed OG | 57c | 422.03$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked OG | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked OG | 58c | 110.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed OG | 58c | 86.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked OG | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Spirit | 74c | 62.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Spirit | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked OG | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed OG | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs OG (+6.5)OG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.