CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f4978ca666f10cb0fe2940436064e7b490fbb0955db261385e4656c737c0999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 115,886$57,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,942.87 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 99,820$49,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,909.8 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Over | 52c | 4,542$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,021$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed Under | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 49c | 2,005$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.22 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Under | 50c | 1,107$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 943.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 47c | 219.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 200.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 54c | 157$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f7…4de1backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 58c | 109.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 50c | 105.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 99.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…9984backed Under | 54c | 96.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 85.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 51c | 85.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 50c | 68.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 60.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 53c | 54.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 53.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…90bebacked Over | 52c | 50.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…f0dabacked Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 51c | 44.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…0a0dbacked Under | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 48c | 32.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Under | 48c | 31.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 54c | 31.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c7…d4fcbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Under | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…81c5backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Under | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Under | 73c | 20.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…5992backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.