South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbce807911d553a6e3b32e10860e1370de46117f78db440a25bed788e1d14c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 12,981$7,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.4 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,668$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.86 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 2,266$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 57c | 1,760$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 72c | 951.78$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.01 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 72c | 812.79$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 64c | 777.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 677.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 43c | 583.1$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 558.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 326.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 61c | 311.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 42c | 216.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 43c | 215.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 211.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 34c | 183.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 181.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 35c | 143.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 43c | 115.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 56c | 99.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Under | 43c | 95.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 65c | 84.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 49c | 80.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Over | 41c | 74.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 45c | 63.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Over | 71c | 55.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 61c | 49.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…5eadbacked Over | 57c | 47.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5f52backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 44.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 43c | 42.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…a4d2backed Under | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Under | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 31.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 34c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 42c | 30.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 70c | 29.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Under | 60c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c2…5b6cbacked Under | 40c | 24.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 57c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…1adebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…4ad4backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 18.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.