South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33c764b5368cdd48c44cb016628cbbc9f60738332d7798e6fc6e774246b0bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 553.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 17c | 476.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 408.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 236.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Under | 78c | 190.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 22c | 178.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 29c | 166.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 29c | 165.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 111.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 80c | 96.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 17c | 89.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 16c | 85.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…775cbacked Over | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 79c | 23.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…d0eebacked Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 18.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.