Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8f6fdf1f9f21187bf9f94c7cd46d58d0dc1c039c6fea7b04d2f020bdbf4c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 60c | 13,698$8,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,233.36 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked OG | 43c | 11,147$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.59 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 74c | 10,000$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.07 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Heroic | 39c | 7,212$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.79 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Heroic | 42c | 5,798$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.62 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 54c | 5,549$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Heroic | 70c | 4,291$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.78 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 58c | 4,033$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.54 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 49c | 3,492$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed OG | 22c | 2,705$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Heroic | 39c | 2,691$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 39c | 2,589$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.02 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed OG | 21c | 2,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Heroic | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 58c | 1,888$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.83 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed OG | 35c | 1,772$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.73 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…7c2abacked Heroic | 38c | 1,419$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…1f57backed Heroic | 38c | 1,419$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…deaebacked Heroic | 38c | 1,416$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 39c | 1,398$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.15 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked OG | 62c | 1,380$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.63 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…20f0backed Heroic | 38c | 1,378$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 49c | 1,309$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.75 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed OG | 8c | 1,251$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic | 40c | 1,137$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 61c | 1,083$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…0721backed Heroic | 38c | 1,073$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 65c | 1,060$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.15 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OG | 13c | 1,034$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 6c | 999.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked OG | 7c | 955$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed OG | 65c | 921.76$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 7c | 895.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Heroic | 35c | 823.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.52 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed OG | 1c | 809$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 38c | 801$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed OG | 61c | 799.96$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic | 38c | 772.4$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.89 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…7e3cbacked OG | 62c | 755$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…ade1backed OG | 62c | 755$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…5a98backed OG | 62c | 752$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…7eafbacked OG | 62c | 741$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Heroic | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed OG | 3c | 675$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Heroic | 39c | 666.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…a68cbacked OG | 62c | 664$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…7f16backed OG | 62c | 664$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…09ebbacked OG | 62c | 664$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…df1cbacked OG | 62c | 637$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked OG | 39c | 635.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 45c | 611.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.15 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Heroic | 39c | 595.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 57c | 591.39$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.77 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 51c | 582.72$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…8ffabacked OG | 62c | 573$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…a353backed OG | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked OG | 30c | 499.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 61c | 492$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic | 50c | 458.6$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 45c | 426.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.26 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked OG | 14c | 409$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Heroic | 42c | 404.31$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed OG | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed OG | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Heroic | 40c | 377.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 15c | 368.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 52c | 359.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Heroic | 40c | 323.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 60c | 322.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed OG | 64c | 313.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked OG | 8c | 306.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked OG | 55c | 300$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Heroic | 36c | 285.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Heroic | 78c | 258.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Heroic | 39c | 255.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heroic | 57c | 246.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed OG | 75c | 236$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked OG | 64c | 234.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed OG | 66c | 232.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…eee9backed OG | 39c | 225.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…10febacked Heroic | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…e416backed Heroic | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Heroic | 66c | 196.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic | 55c | 181.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…3db0backed OG | 23c | 175.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked Heroic | 42c | 161.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c392backed Heroic | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed OG | 64c | 155.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked OG | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed OG | 37c | 138.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed OG | 35c | 136.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Heroic | 48c | 132.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Heroic | 41c | 129.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed OG | 59c | 126$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Heroic | 62c | 123.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Heroic | 38c | 122$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…e4d2backed Heroic | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…23fdbacked Heroic | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.