South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c1a60142f75c3cfb9bf04a9f3910eb09c2638a48ab55a5a53ee9136205039e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 10,606$5,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.61 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed No | 52c | 9,443$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 8,061$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 5,742$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.8 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 4,472$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.95 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 3,920$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.52 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 49c | 1,303$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.14 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 1,186$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.85 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 52c | 911.54$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 888.44$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.34 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 50c | 804$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 335.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 48c | 306.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 45c | 253.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 252$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 45c | 232$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 48c | 198$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 180.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…a6e7backed No | 50c | 176.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…6328backed Yes | 51c | 168.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0634…2787backed Yes | 51c | 167.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 159.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…4689backed No | 50c | 158.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…11afbacked Yes | 51c | 155.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 47c | 63.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 51c | 48.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 46.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ba73backed Yes | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 37.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 76c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 52c | 26.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 65c | 22.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed Yes | 48c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.