South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5aa25ac923a8ec16b149377ac7ec9396642dfd605306d37b696d6ba0a2e345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 38c | 14,999$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.73 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 8,204$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.62 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 64c | 7,536$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 5,228$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 3,183$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 2,503$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 38c | 2,231$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,728$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 62c | 612$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 36c | 503.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 36c | 460$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 28c | 437$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 61c | 430$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed Yes | 24c | 419.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 72c | 340$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…df0cbacked Yes | 38c | 266.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 265.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 34c | 254$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 226.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 216$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 177.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 147$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 145.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 36c | 144$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 139.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked Yes | 38c | 45.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 38c | 33.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 63c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 65c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…dd15backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.