Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b92c1f63b63cc0ccff7e28ce12821a5299a72d2e2993519cc656656d656a1ac

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,492 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	14,369$7,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,864.98	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over	63c	5,555$3,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,484.38	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	44cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x050d…2f13backed Over	47c	3,900$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+82%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	47c	1,511$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.59	266	60.5%161 W · 105 L	+25.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	37c	1,465$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.66	711	40.2%286 W · 425 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	53c	1,367$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.23	150	48.7%73 W · 77 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over	37c	1,363$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over	63c	999.99$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	44c	809.54$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.9	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	39c	800$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.92	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	40c	741.61$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over	34c	738.61$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over	37c	700$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	618.4$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.77	593	48.4%287 W · 306 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under	63c	476.19$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.19	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	64c	468.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	70cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over	44c	452$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.85	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over	44c	420$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.83	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	46c	308.81$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.29	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over	37c	288$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	66c	284.98$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.09	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	44c	261$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.84	263	46.4%122 W · 141 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	65c	249.99$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.5	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	41c	212.2$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under	38c	200$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over	58c	174$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	65c	162.08$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.16	331	48.6%161 W · 170 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over	13c	148.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under	42c	120$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over	52c	114.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	53c	114.06$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	45c	113.33$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	66c	109.73$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.42	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over	58c	103$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.74	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over	31c	99.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	58cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	39c	95.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.92	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over	34c	88.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over	32c	81.25$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over	53c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.2	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	62%57 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over	32c	74.03$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	42c	72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.36	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	54c	71.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-8.0wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	41c	71.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	162	24.1%39 W · 123 L	-13.0wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over	47c	70.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-5.1wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	35c	57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	20c	52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	223	40.8%91 W · 132 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	72	27.8%20 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	35c	49.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	626	48.6%304 W · 322 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over	38c	47.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	55c	47.92$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.37	172	51.2%88 W · 84 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde95…b97fbacked Under	69c	43.27$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	61c	42.48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	380	56.6%215 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over	43c	34.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed Over	73c	34.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked Over	58c	33.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over	44c	33.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	33c	32.34$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under	56c	30.89$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.44	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over	48c	30.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over	66c	29.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under	35c	29.77$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	43cpaid	+90.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-4.4wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	64c	24.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over	58c	19.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	63c	16.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5this page
FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)FC Nantes won
Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)FC Nantes won
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Angers SCO won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event