Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35a67d0b042d947d00ede59361ba552f994585060e9e00baeebc2dca7c621d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,065 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 9,225$6,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 5,594$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.92 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 65c | 3,415$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 1,747$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.96 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 1,674$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.44 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 40c | 1,626$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 64c | 1,464$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.06 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 30c | 1,249$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.78 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 13c | 886.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 42c | 735.66$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.26 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 37c | 481.08$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 37c | 454.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 39c | 450$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 27c | 374.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 40c | 367$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 73c | 347.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2346backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…d3dabacked Over | 36c | 275.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 36c | 196.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2f…c1c9backed Over | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 75c | 122.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 118.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 64c | 87.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…e7d8backed Under | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 63c | 69.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 37c | 67.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 65c | 66.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 38c | 65.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 74c | 56.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 36c | 55.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…a9fdbacked Under | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…6e02backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 60c | 42.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…7d1cbacked Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb8…d60fbacked Over | 37c | 38.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f6…c8c9backed Under | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2138backed Over | 37c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…f07dbacked Under | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 64c | 24.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 59c | 24.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…fb4dbacked Under | 65c | 23.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…cb85backed Under | 65c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-2.5)FC Nantes won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.