Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0e591c3c9f28eecb06f79150278c80692c5bad7f4db24587c674d4a9373802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 77c | 2,344$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 26c | 1,249$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.57 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 647.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 601.36$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 582.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 26c | 410.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 71c | 353.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 76c | 261.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 260.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 208.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 27c | 185.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 174.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 73c | 166.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 17c | 125.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 71c | 118.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 113.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 59c | 103.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 57c | 102.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…f116backed Over | 20c | 98.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…9c5cbacked Under | 76c | 70.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 55.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 77c | 35.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 71c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 74c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.