Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12433bb232a02b9c91bf3b933125d66d6a0990a2ba085820c0a003ed490f30ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 5,161$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 69c | 2,388$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.96 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 2,095$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.44 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Over | 76c | 1,323$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 23c | 1,278$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 76c | 1,184$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 705.11$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 74c | 695.58$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 76c | 659.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 66c | 515.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 24c | 513.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 480.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 22c | 469.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 436$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 76c | 421.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 29c | 331.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 309$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 76c | 264.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 74c | 115$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 74c | 112$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 110.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 107.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 93.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Over | 75c | 93.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…1822backed Over | 76c | 60.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 24c | 48.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 31c | 40.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 77c | 38.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…636fbacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.