Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1d0b1d23b76055b018da4ebff5ade58faff65c5c7e8bea625c65b9c8aac8da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gil Vicente FCof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Gil Vicente FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Gil Vicente FC | 65c | 6,802$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gil Vicente FC | 67c | 4,670$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 2,829$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 25c | 1,162$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 813.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 43c | 587.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 43c | 184.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 182.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Gil Vicente FC | 67c | 177$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 159.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 144.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 135$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 114.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 107.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Gil Vicente FC | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c20backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 29c | 80.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 71.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 47c | 60.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Gil Vicente FC | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 43.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gil Vicente FC | 65c | 41.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 33c | 40.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Gil Vicente FC | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Gil Vicente FC | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Gil Vicente FC | 66c | 34.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Gil Vicente FC | 67c | 33.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Gil Vicente FC | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Gil Vicente FC | 66c | 29.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Gil Vicente FC | 69c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Gil Vicente FC | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Gil Vicente FC | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.