South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ca16310fb3feb9a81038a60fe538d844ed721e32f0462416b7bb5ffc71d6ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,440$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 78c | 1,450$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 47c | 1,159$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 31c | 1,113$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.13 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 23c | 1,096$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 891.04$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 810$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.7 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…9594backed Over | 48c | 706.9$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 54c | 621$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.02 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 42c | 499.72$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 54c | 415.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.23 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 52c | 410.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 328.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Over | 36c | 286.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 47c | 250.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 225.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…542dbacked Under | 53c | 188.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 54c | 178.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 37c | 176.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 44c | 170.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 124.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 57c | 105.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 91.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 31c | 89.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 36c | 88.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 59c | 82.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 42c | 73.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Under | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 54c | 64.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 33c | 60.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 53.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…362bbacked Under | 39c | 47.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 39c | 45.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 73c | 39.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Under | 75c | 38.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 75c | 30.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 54c | 29.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 25.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 57c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Under | 55c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.