South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84898e3af8a4e31424af988923808ec3a732416a2512a47dd6068c2232af1e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 57c | 4,905$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.56 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 2,599$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 1,857$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 1,225$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.26 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 1,176$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.47 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 44c | 881.17$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.83 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Yes | 54c | 542.11$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 62c | 317.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 52c | 309.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Yes | 62c | 154.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 136.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 47c | 114.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 54c | 111.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 64c | 92.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 62c | 56.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 46.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 41c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 64c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 39c | 31.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 48c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.