South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0961a3177755e7591c4a2b884dd8515224958ec073405c67ed5e44d0936a746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,981$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 799.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 17c | 587.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 401.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 78c | 387.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…9594backed Over | 65c | 327.69$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 310.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 291.24$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 70c | 270$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 75c | 214.67$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 175.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 29c | 154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 145.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 29c | 135.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 15c | 71.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7883…f72abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 34c | 61.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 78c | 53.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 64c | 49.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 41.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 31c | 41.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 74c | 33.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 29.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 65c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.