TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c9,627$5,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.338,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over39c9,405$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,741.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60016543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over44c4,539$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Under52c4,128$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.483053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c3,477$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.055,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over46c2,870$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.2321839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c2,736$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.726055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over48c2,252$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.086546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9912940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under52c1,787$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.1829747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c1,266$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.5949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9914654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over58c693.88$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under61c658.16$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.48862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under31c630$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.34776.6%36 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c542.65$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under53c510.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.782646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26039853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c480.54$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3eb…ab39backed Over47c453.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c445.41$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.621,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under19c442.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.125442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.612645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under30c410$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c399.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1769545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c346.45$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.962,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4223…542dbacked Under43c326.63$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac06…9594backed Over61c312.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over68c282.77$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.775945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c275.56$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.023,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under42c240.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8718733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0416656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c233.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.251,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.33043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea3…7078backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c196.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7345746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c173.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0635958.8%211 W · 148 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over39c166.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.442152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over69c131.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.813759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+121%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c124.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.753,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under32c112.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.682171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over49c110.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.024944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over50c108.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.47032.9%23 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under65c107.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2649341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Under53c103.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.961573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over75c99.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.979361.3%57 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Over75c99.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c95.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.957856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Under56c89.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c79.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.314560%27 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under56c77.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2435758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed Under47c62.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.772268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over46c61.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2514352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Under21c57.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over59c55.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.862254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf6…b89abacked Under31c54.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Over48c52.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb23e…362bbacked Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over69c49.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2844939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under54c48.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.39162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…ad76backed Over60c47.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under41c44.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2723542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.216740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+57.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under42c41.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.446448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.213557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under32c39.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c35.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.723959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked Under58c34.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9306…cf80backed Over72c34.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over59c34.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c33.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.342,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed Under42c33.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.142857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Over37c29.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.738433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Over49c27.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over52c24.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.877742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc078…f854backed Over48c24.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c24.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9217946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Over48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.964261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under53c21.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.518452.4%44 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under53c20.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10a8…3275backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked Under61c19.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.