Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a69632513b71bec43c0d94417d9b3c3e155d14f349376704deea0c56159914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 1,688$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 925.46$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 156.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 79c | 135.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 22c | 126.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 43c | 46.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 40.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…c9f2backed Under | 78c | 30.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 37c | 29.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 63c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.