Premier League · resolved market
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9055540d654f5169149de3e87e369985b0732fb7fd22f133ac7986a068a52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 43c | 1,888$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.88 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,762$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 43c | 1,153$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.43 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 712.22$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 57c | 422.39$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Under | 58c | 420.9$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 59.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 41c | 26.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…ffe5backed Under | 52c | 25.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 56c | 23.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 22.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 18.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 79c | 13.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.