Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0475641fcd300092d1e4290fc6957cbf3998db2af6efa65e93eba5bb158dcd73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 2c | 17,701$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.35 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 45c | 1,818$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 1,486$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.3 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 42c | 1,310$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 19c | 765.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 61c | 743.41$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 533.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.27 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 76c | 459.7$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 431.19$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 58c | 305.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 43c | 244.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 42c | 228.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 39c | 214.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 24c | 125.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 57c | 116.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 58c | 114.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 110.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 52c | 96.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 59.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over | 43c | 30.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.