TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c12,904$5,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,857.952,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over70c6,962$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.751392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c5,555$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.157358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c3,889$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.3215450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c2,667$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.0993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over27c2,600$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.993053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c1,997$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.11,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under36c1,590$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.5749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over65c1,306$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.163663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c660.89$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under72c476.42$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.543271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over73c390$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.311268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Under40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over34c350$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23123353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over64c272$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.552045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2711429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2733144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over53c251.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.448334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Under68c221.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over64c219.61$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c205$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11615042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over50c199.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+77.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over65c162.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over61c151.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1518055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under35c148.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.751553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under63c119.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed Over38c110.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.522343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over75c105.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.332356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under62c104.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.784748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.811460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.628458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under39c96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.715041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9111161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under64c84.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over63c82.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.316956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over39c77.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.843956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over33c74.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.256145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c73.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6716340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over39c71.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over75c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.754271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over69c57.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.182576%19 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.357065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over38c53.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.163447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over38c53.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.092445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over53c47.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.242263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over34c45.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc7…ff41backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e6…519fbacked Over36c45.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Over37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over30c39.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.542152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed Under64c33.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over63c32.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9911144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over54c25.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under62c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b1…fc8abacked Under63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bea…0b1abacked Over75c18.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+145.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over56c18.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e09…f745backed Over69c16.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d84…7b78backed Over75c16.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.061392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick63cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under63c15.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafc2…700bbacked Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.