Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42bb72fcf957de56360cc8c4d0a74658cd57825c854b620719c1af9ef5d913fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 2,261$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 1,717$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 18c | 555.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…3fffbacked Under | 79c | 507.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 338.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 17c | 239.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 38c | 171.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 155.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 31c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 16c | 81.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 35c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 75c | 73.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 65c | 60.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 62c | 55.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 35c | 47.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 20.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.