Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10dd04095a376a18a625cc7bd7ae146d05efec07ced6673b28136c5e7217119f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 2c | 2,452$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked No | 56c | 1,333$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 45c | 1,121$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.55 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,016$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 388.93$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 54c | 295.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 45c | 181.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 171.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked No | 55c | 73.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Yes | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 46.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…519fbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 53c | 31.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.