Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29e868f2cd15af182fb4c33e6ef6580febd3d61732ad902f67865f67e461df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 3,996$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Over | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,357$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 64c | 859.38$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 35c | 499.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 459.97$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 376.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 65c | 215.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 157.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…2fcabacked Under | 36c | 151.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 65c | 118.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Under | 11c | 90.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 20c | 59.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 66c | 35.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 36c | 31.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…e538backed Under | 36c | 30.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…264fbacked Over | 65c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…a46fbacked Under | 36c | 30.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1342backed Over | 65c | 30.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca56…14b9backed Under | 36c | 29.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…6c02backed Under | 36c | 28.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…bf29backed Over | 65c | 28.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43b…7bc6backed Under | 36c | 27.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…3253backed Over | 65c | 27.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…4c6fbacked Over | 65c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…b1a4backed Over | 65c | 15.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.