La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395b9f85dcfb900169cba31485961c8506bcb43620e29468c7dfa84f5a3dcfae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,503 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,722$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 4,375$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 41c | 716.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 567.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 454.05$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 139$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 24c | 133.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 77c | 131.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…054abacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 123.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 64c | 123.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 76c | 68.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 42c | 48.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 47.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 45.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 40c | 44.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 60c | 37.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 34.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over | 58c | 33.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 76c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 58c | 31.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 61c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Granada CF (-2.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.